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The math doesn't work. 83 C3PAOs vs 118,000 contractors. Wait times are 3-6 months now, 12+ months by mid-2026. How to get scheduled before the rush.

Phase 1 started November 10, 2025 - no grace period. What happens if you're not certified, how contracts are affected, and what 'no cert = no bid' actually means.
Secretary Hegseth Tour: Get Compliant Or Get Left Secretary of War Pete Hegseth is walking shop floors in New England this week to inspect the "Arsenal of...
Phase 1 started November 10, 2025. No grace period. Selective enforcement.
But Phase 1 is the warm-up.
Phase 2 is when things get serious.
Starting November 10, 2026, C3PAO assessments become mandatory for most Level 2 contracts. Self-assessment won't cut it anymore.
By November 10, 2028, every applicable DoD contract will require CMMC. No exceptions.
Here's the timeline. And what you need to do at each stage.
The DoD is implementing CMMC in stages to avoid overwhelming the system (and to give contractors time to prepare... theoretically).
What's required:
Who's affected:
Reality: Phase 1 is "opt-in" enforcement. The DoD picks which contracts get CMMC requirements.
But don't relax. Many contracts are already including CMMC language. And primes are requiring certification even when the government doesn't mandate it yet.
What's required:
Who's affected:
Reality: This is the big shift. C3PAO becomes required, not optional.
If you don't have a C3PAO certificate, you're ineligible for most contracts.
Timeline crunch: From November 2026 to when you need certification could be weeks, not months. Get in line early.
What's required:
Who's affected: Everyone.
If your contract involves FCI or CUI and is above the micro-purchase threshold ($10K), it will have CMMC requirements.
Reality: By 2028, CMMC is just part of doing DoD business. Like having a CAGE code or a DUNS number.
No cert = no eligibility = no contracts.
What's happening:
What you should do:
Why this matters: This is your window. C3PAO capacity isn't overwhelmed yet. You can still get on the schedule.
Wait until mid-2026 and you'll be competing with thousands of other contractors for the same C3PAO slots.
What's happening:
What you should do:
Why this matters: By October 2026, it'll be too late to get a C3PAO assessment before Phase 2 starts. Wait times will be 12+ months.
What changes:
What you should do:
Why this matters: This is when the haves and have-nots separate.
Certified contractors keep winning contracts. Uncertified contractors start losing.
What's happening:
What you should do:
Why this matters: By 2027, CMMC is a fait accompli. The only question is: are you compliant or not?
What changes:
What you should do:
Why this matters: This is the final deadline. After this, there's no wiggle room.
During Phase 1, contracting officers can require C3PAO at their discretion.
During Phase 2, contracting officers must require C3PAO for most Level 2 contracts.
The difference?
Phase 1: "We prefer C3PAO but will accept self-assessment" Phase 2: "C3PAO required. Self-assessment not accepted."
There are narrow exceptions (low-risk contracts, certain programs), but for most contractors, Phase 2 = C3PAO or bust.
You might wonder: if CMMC is so important, why not require it immediately for all contracts?
Answer: capacity.
As of December 2025, there are only 83 C3PAOs for 118,000 contractors.
If the DoD required everyone to get certified immediately, the system would collapse. Wait times would be 5+ years.
Phased rollout gives time for:
Most defense contractors weren't doing NIST 800-171 before CMMC.
Requiring immediate compliance would have caused mass disruptions:
Phased rollout gives contractors time to implement controls and get certified without breaking the supply chain.
If the DoD had gone "full enforcement" immediately, contractors would have sued.
Phased rollout with advance notice reduces legal challenges. Hard to claim "we didn't have time to prepare" when you had 3+ years warning.
Priority: Schedule C3PAO assessment
Timeline: Aim for Q2-Q3 2026 assessment (before Phase 2)
Steps:
Result: You're certified before Phase 2, avoiding the rush
Priority: Accelerate timeline
Timeline: Try to complete before November 2026 (Phase 2 start)
Steps:
Result: Maybe you get certified before Phase 2. If not, at least you're in process.
Priority: Get in line for 2027-2028 certification
Timeline: Realistically, you're looking at 2027-2028 completion
Steps:
Result: You might lose some bids in 2027, but you'll be ready for Phase 3
CMMC certification isn't forever.
Level 1: Self-assessment required annually
Level 2: C3PAO assessment required every 3 years
Level 3: C3PAO + DIBCAC assessment every 3 years
What this means:
If you got certified in 2024-2025 (early adopter), good job. You're ahead of the curve.
Next steps:
If you get to November 2028 without certification, you have two options:
Option 1: Exit DoD Market
Stop bidding DoD contracts. Focus on commercial work.
Option 2: Get Certified Post-2028
You'll still be able to get certified after 2028. It's not a "window closes" situation.
But you won't be eligible for contracts until you're certified.
So if you go this route, expect a revenue gap:
Most shops can't afford a 1-2 year revenue gap. So don't plan on this.
Phase 1 (now - November 2026): Selective enforcement, self-assessment still accepted
Phase 2 (November 2026 - November 2028): Broader enforcement, C3PAO mandatory for most
Phase 3 (November 2028+): Full enforcement, all contracts
If you need CMMC Level 2, your deadline is realistically mid-2026 to avoid the Phase 2 rush.
If you wait until 2027-2028, you'll get certified eventually. But you'll lose bids in the meantime.
The smart move: start now. Even if Phase 2 is 11 months away.
C3PAO wait times are already 3-6 months. By mid-2026, they'll be 12+ months. Don't be the contractor scrambling in October 2026 trying to find a C3PAO with availability.
Next Steps:
Not sure where to start? Take our 2-minute quiz to assess your readiness.
Need to understand what controls to implement? Read our NIST 800-171 priority guide.
Worried about finding a C3PAO? Read our C3PAO shortage guide for tips on getting scheduled.